Thursday, May 26, 2011

On continued momentum

In case there's any doubt, the usual caveats about paying too much attention to polling are probably all the more important now that any federal election is more than four years away. But with that caution out of the way, it's certainly worth watching whether the response of voters to a transformational election is to keep moving in the same direction, or to revert to previous patterns.

On that front, at least the first indications suggest that we're looking at the former - with the NDP holding onto its election-day vote share in Quebec, and actually gaining ground in the rest of Canada. And the more NDP support comes to be the new normal among voters who changed their minds over the course of the election campaign, the better the chances of the party being able to build on that base for years to come.

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